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» Weather modification for rainfall

 

Even small percentage increase in rainfall has a large impact on rainfall gain to irrigation and catchments. This fact makes weather modification the cheapest water available from any method because only a small increase in rainfall equals or betters any other form of obtaining water. Larger gains reduce relative cost as more water is obtained.

 

Even though a percentage increase in rainfall may seem poor value for money, 1mm of rain over 1km˛ equates to 1 Megalitre (1,000,000 litres of water). Catchments with heavier rain have more runoff, so small increases in rainfall actually have marked effects on dam levels. More water on the ground takes longer to evaporate, benefiting agriculture and crops.

 

Annual rainfall after 20% cloud seeding increase.

 

 

Note: Performance variation should be expected due to the changing nature of the climate. Differences in latitude and local climatology: BAT tactics and technologies ensure higher than past, traditional outcomes. Average gains in rainfall around 20% have occurred after cloud seeding in the past and are used here as a guide only, to give a general illustration of water gains and costs. Larger, smaller and no gains have also been experienced, variability of suitable clouds and other factors vital for weather modification changes and varies results obtained.

 

» Irrigation

 

 

Increased water for crops allows water to penetrate deeper into the soil and roots because the water is on the ground for longer, and more water soaks deeper into the ground. Additional rainwater provided by weather modification takes longer to evaporate, (ground, crops and grass stay moist longer). Increased energy and time is required to deplete it compared to lower rainfall, allowing plant roots to draw more water into the roots and leaves. Increased humidity at ground level also increases growth, and it takes longer for an area to dry out.

 

Irrigation costs in Australia alone, per year exceed $12 billion. Many farmers are under pressure from the Government to give up traditional sources of water such as bores or rivers for environmental reasons.

 

» Pre and post weather modification: boosting local humidity (exaggerated graph)

 

 

» Catchments

 

Local evaporation and ground absorption rates dictate how much rainfall water becomes catchment. Typically 80% to 90% of total rainfall water is lost before reaching a dam in arid conditions. As rainfall improves losses to evaporation and ground absorption are lower, giving more run off (and water), exponentially increasing returns, which is why floods can occur quite quickly, regardless of how dry it has been.

 

Improved rainfall reduces ground absorption loss from catchment areas  

 

 

Catchments and irrigation facilities are generally engineered to utilise an areas known annual rainfall: usually to an areas driest known conditions. Weather modification boosts rain back closer to average standard which dams and catchments were engineered for, during sustained arid conditions and periods of below average rainfall. This provides relief until fluctuating conditions normalise, with minimal expenditure.

 

Increase in water flowing to catchment

 

 

» Improvements and costs of cloud seeding example: local rainfall of 400 mm of rain per year

 

Total rainfall of 400mm per year/5000km˛ area: BAT weather modification at $2 million.

20% increase in rain will yield 80mm of additional rain.

Irrigation 20% gain: 400,000 Megalitres @$5 a Megalitre.

 

» Catchment increases from weather modification (costs and yields)

 

With 10% of 400mm annual rainfall proceeding to a city or town dam, water improvements and cost are:

20% increase in rainfall: 40,000 Megalitres @$50 per Megalitre or 4 cents per kilolitre

 

* Catchments can receive 20% of total rainfall, for these double yields and halve costs*

 

» Water totals per 1000km˛ area (excludes increased weir contributions etc).


Irrigation

20% gain

40000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

MEGALITRES per 1000km˛ areas

Catchment

Rate   gain

 

20% (20%)

10% (20%)

 

 

 

8000

4000

 

 

 

16,000

  8000

 

 

 

24,000

12,000

 

 

 

32,000

16,000

 

 

 

40,000

20,000

Annual rain

200mm

400mm

600mm

800mm

1000mm

BAT weather modification costs:

$2 million for 5000km˛ (x 5 for water, divide by $2 million for Megalitre cost).

$3 million for 20,000km˛ (x 20 for water, divide for Megalitre cost).

$5 million for 50,000km˛ (x 50 for water, divide for Megalitre cost).

 

» Weather Modification demo: water yield + costs: Sydney City Catchment, Australia

 

Sources: Cloud seeding study estimates between 20% and 37% rainfall increase: Gosford City Councils Technology Action Group, NSW. NOTE: 20% rainfall gain statistics shown here only

Rainfall figures Bureau of Meteorology, Australia

Reported 2007 February Rainfall: Daily Telegraph, Sydney Australia:

 

Warragamba catchment 40mm rain /80000 megalitres return or 2000 megalitres per mm

Sydney weekly water consumption = 10,000 Megalitres per week

BAT weather modification costs: Sydney Catchment Area = $3,000,000

 

20% increase in decile 1 rainfall (decile 1 is the average minimum rain ever experienced)

145mm extra rainfall (Lithgow) = 290,000 megalitres = $10.34 per Megalitre= 29 weeks supply

112mm extra rainfall (Mittagong) = 224,000 megalitres = $13.39 per Megalitre = 22 weeks supply

 

Total average annual yield/cost= 257,000 Megalitres (25.7 weeks supply) @ $11.67 per Megalitre



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